Sample Analysis — The Value Gap Model Applied End to End | NxtChapter Campus Advisors
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Results & Benefits · The Worked Example

Sample analysis: the model, applied end to end.

OUTSOURCED WORKED EXAMPLE · A SELF‑OPERATED COUNTERPART IS IN PRODUCTION — SAME EQUATION, DIFFERENT INPUT SET

A full pass of the Value Gap model at an illustrative 2,000-student private institution. Every input is stated. Every step is shown. None of it is client data.

Illustrative — Read Before the Numbers

This profile is constructed from NACS sector benchmarks at a 2,000-student enrollment band. It is not a client, not an anonymized client, and not a promise. It exists so you can check our arithmetic before you ever pay for it. Your numbers come from a Tier 1 diagnostic of your actual contract and actuals.

Step 1 — the profile

Enrollment (FTE)2,000
Gross store revenue$1.8M / yr
Contracted commissionblended 8.0%
MAG$150K, set at signing
Digital adoption shiftmaterial, terms pre-digital

Step 2 — decompose the blend

The analysis splits gross revenue across the four stores and benchmarks each category against the peer set for this profile. The blended 8.0% turns out to be paying merchandise-level revenue at below-materials rates — the flattening problem in one row:

Rate gap, per category, summed$82K–$102K / yr

Step 3 — price the digital displacement

Commissioned physical sales that migrated into Inclusive Access under terms that remit less. Adoption shift × remittance gap:

Digital displacement gap$56K / yr

Step 4 — price the uncaptured category revenue

The guarantee was set at signing and never reset as the store grew; shortfall years were never invoiced. Unbilled shortfall plus stale guarantee level:

Unenforced MAG shortfall$102K / yr

Step 5 — the finding

Measured value gap, conservative band$240K–$260K / yr
A RECURRING ANNUAL GAP vs. A ONE-TIME FLAT FEE · THE ROI TEST APPLIES BEFORE ANY NEXT TIER

In a real engagement, this brief would also state each benchmark’s source and vintage, the peer-set construction, and a written proceed/stop conclusion against the ROI test.

Limitation of Role

NxtChapter provides analytical insight. All final operational and contractual decisions remain the sole responsibility of the institution. This engagement is not an audit or attestation performed under AICPA or governmental auditing standards.

Next Step

This ran on illustrative numbers. Yours won't be.

The same model, run against your actual contract and actuals. The Tier 0 Discovery call is where that starts — sixty minutes, no cost, no obligation.